0x12Af6A913619f94169a02C86DAd002259183dcc8-1771118692190

0x12af6a...83dcc8

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.8%

Total P&L

+$104

Trade Count

133

Sharpe Ratio

-1.45

Sortino Ratio

-1.47

Max Drawdown

470.3%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

46.12

Kelly Fraction

0.576

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	97.1¢	5.149	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.5¢	8.29	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.6¢	8.282	Mar 5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.6¢	10.91	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	10.41	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	10.417	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.7¢	8.87	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.9¢	8.872	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.7¢	6.46	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.9¢	6.459	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	10.917	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	5.102	Mar 3
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	SELL	74.0¢	5.08	Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	93.9¢	6.38	Mar 3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.9¢	6.18	Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	94.1¢	6.376	Mar 2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.0¢	6.38	Mar 2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	94.0¢	6.383	Mar 2
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	97.0¢	5.14	Mar 2
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.2¢	5.144	Mar 2

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.9%

Win Consistency38.5%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity133 trades · 17 active days

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue