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xpet1

0x08bff0...1e30b0
#12317 overall · top 58.48%
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
78.5%
Total P&L
-$415
Trade Count
389
Sharpe Ratio
0.60
Sortino Ratio
7.57
Max Drawdown
667.3%
ROI
-3.4%
Profit Factor
0.15
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
012.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL95.2¢100Feb 28
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?SELL99.1¢10Feb 28
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?BUY99.7¢10Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL9.0¢35Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL33.0¢20Feb 28
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?BUY99.7¢20Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL19.0¢26Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY19.0¢26Feb 27
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL65.0¢10Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY94.0¢5Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY94.0¢5Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY94.0¢10Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY94.0¢5Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY94.0¢10Feb 27
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?BUY99.5¢5Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL90.0¢22Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY90.0¢22Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL90.0¢15Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY91.0¢5Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY91.0¢10Feb 26

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%6%50–70%6%70–80%4%80–90%34%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%
Win Consistency46.5%
Profit Factor0.34
Drawdown Resilience0.27
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity389 trades · 35 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,3284d profit31d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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